When the Worst Case Scenario Becomes the Likely Scenario

January 16, 2003

Recent information coming into our hands connective to the retaliation against us, has now convinced us that our most feared scenario is the most likely scenario.

What has made SenderBerl analyses stand out during the years we have been doing it? First, we have tended to be correct on analyses deemed unlikely to unravel as suggested. Second, is that we blend in both secular and biblical dynamics into our analytics and interpretations.

The main biblical interpretation allowed us to proffer many years ago that we were in the process of seeing a major shift of the paradigm of world power from the West to China (Asia). The United States has stood amazed at how quickly recently China has consolidated a vast network of global economic allies. The same stupid team that created Oslo for the Middle East authorized a prosperous China as the solution and path to its willingly becoming a player in world government, blindly overlooking the aspect that China might find unipolar world government contrary to its long term interests.

We knew for many years that China would not play along with the new world order agenda we were against. In December 1999, China made its position clear in the movie The Emperor and the Assassin. While the new world order agenda made it the military and economic power house it finds itself today, Clinton’s pursuit of unipolar world government was benign, while Bush’s is anything but. Thus, China knew that confrontation between it and the US was inevitable during his term in office.

China in 2002 made enormous headway with Germany and Russia both solid US allies with infrastructure safeguards installed by US interests. This has already upset the US, not totally confident that its controls in both countries are secure enough to compensate against theplotting of China. The US, no doubt, agreeing with our assessment of China’s involvement in escalating 9-11, had Bush go out twice to meet with Zemin, and both instances were no better than the third meeting in Crawford, where Jiang Zemin controlled the playing field over his younger opponent.

By the time the Crawford meeting was over, the parties knew that military conflict was inevitable. We knew it before the meeting started, when Jiang Zemin didn’t even bother to tell Bush that he would be late, leaving the President standing idly by on his porch waiting to greet Zemin. By then, axis of evil member North Korea made it evident that it would emerge as a player, prior to any launch against Iraq. Not only did North Korea’s involvement successfully tell the world, what we declared the first day, that the US was out primarily for Iraqi oil, but now, through government poodle and stooge Thomas Friedman of the NY Times, who has enough to answer for his stooging for Oslo, just yesterday admits for the Bush team that yes, we and others were right declaring from day one that the US does seek to seize and benefit from the capture of Iraqi oil!

By the time the stooge came out to say it, Bush moreover learned that the US tide for support has markedly turned against his war against Iraq. Moreover, many in Congress have a sense of dread over Bush’s dictatorial behavior, and the growing realization that all this came about because the Democrats through collaborator Gephardt wound up supporting Bush’s war policy. Without it, Bush may have never gotten to first base. For sure, Gephardt’s collaboration stifled open debate and discussion.

Moreover, the American public has come to recognize that the Bush administration has not in fact explained why Iraq not North Korea. The failure to get anyone to appear on cable to spew forth lies to the American people on an issue devoid of reason or logic, compelled stooge Friedman to admit to the truth of it for the Bush administration.  To show his independence from a government leash, similar to Woodward making inane criticisms of Bush, his book mentor, Friedman says that the official reasons given by the government for a war against Iraq are crude lies. “Bush Lies” now supplements our position that “Bush Knew”.

Now, listen to this: Friedman writes: “ There is nothing illegitimate or immoral about the US being concerned that an evil, megalomanical dictator might acquire excessive influence over the natural resource that powers the world’s industrial base.”

Now pause. He is saying that this justifies war by Bush against Saddam. However, doesn’t the same perception and perspective apply to many nations viewpoint against Bush? Friedman pushing the NSS doctrine that the US can wage war against anyone it deems worthy of it, permitting seizure of assets of smaller and weaker nations, is allowed to do so; when done by anyone else, of course, it is seen for what it is: criminal. Thus, as we have long declared the NSS once formally issued on September 20, 2002, has driven all nations to the waiting arms of China. Even Russia, Germany, and perhaps even the US’s singular ally in the war against Iraq, England, fears that they may be next. After all, Bush has cast aside just about every obligation the US carried to other nations, as part and parcel of its moral outrage connective to the events of 9-11. Anyone may be next. Sadly added here, is our point, not seen, that the American people, have been themselves the clear and certain targets of the doctrine of the NSS, which seeks to put world domination and control into limited hands. Those limited hands will allow and even promote free elections, as long as the candidates are all pawns and poodles.

What we are about to see is an imperialistic plunder not seen since WWII. With Bush’s dictatorial bent, to the rest of the world that endured Hitler, Bush looks a lot like Hitler (a political leader in Germany was flogged for suggesting this very thought). The evidence of it is that even the EU has moved to China to offset its growing fears about the true parameters of Bush’s intent under the NSS. Now, since Bush is seeking control over large segments of the planet for oil and other critical resources, other nations not comfortable whether they themselves may face seizure of assets are looking to China as best situated to stop the US from becoming, let’s say, overly ambitious. In our SenderBerl 2002 Photo Album, www.senderberl.com/china/palbum2.htm we highlight two photos of Jiang Zemin with the Iranian President Mohammed Khatami, who called on China to play “the leading role” in opposing the US war plans in the Persian Gulf.

Thus, the day Bush declared the axis of evil, he confirmed intent to militarily resolve all nations within the umbrella of the term. Normally, the US moves out at its own pace, and attacks whom it pleases, when it pleases, under its casually announced time plan. However, we warned the government that this would no longer be the case. Moreover, it was not dealing with its usually weak no resistance reality where the outcome was sure and certain. Here Bush warmed up with Afghanistan. This was similar to taking the military to the amusement park. Next, of course, is Iraq. President Bush thought that it would have all been over in August, but he discovered that the world to his amazement understood his entire agenda and united against him. His reaction was not to rethink his plans, but rather, since they know it, I’ll make my plans open, known and formal: on September 20, 2002, releasing the National Security Strategy (NSS).

Thus, our perception of the US taking out Iraq, and then because of the expected attack on Israel, Syria and possibly Iran, changed. Not only did the US discover that Syria and Iran had made protection packs with China, it discovered that there was a high level mole, and Bush faced a compliant Saddam Hussein forcing Bush to buy off Gephardt, and grovel to the Congress and the UN for support he didn’t even want in the first place. The cover for it all was that he was chastised for declaring that the US would proceed under a doctrine of unilateralism when even his own support and base only condoned multilateralism. This made Colin Powell believe that the President was coming around to his way of looking at things.

Then President Bush got a double barrel from North Korea and Zemin in late October 2002. To us, the third barrel was, as we long previously predicted, that Jiang Zemin would continue in de facto power, he being best situated to lead the country in a state of active war. It became apparent since then, that North Korea stands ready to launch an assault against all US troops in South Korea. Bush was advised to take out the troops but now he finds that he cannot do so without looking lame and showing that his protection obligations to Japan and other Asian allies mean nothing. The very fact that he even considered that option now has pushed Japan to build nuclear weapons, seeing it as a necessity. This sad result, to our minds, will now occasion China to have North Korea also attack Japan. Bush wants Japan remilitarized to contain China. Since Bush has enlisted this step by Japan, it has made Japan an open target for North Korea when Bush launches against Iraq. Moreover, the very fact that South Korea joined Japan in sensing if not knowing that Bush is willing to abandon them, approving Japan’s remilitarization, South Korea might wind up having to make accommodations to North Korea and not engage them when North Korea moves against US troops and Japan.

China is in control of the timetable, not Bush, if North Korea launches just prior to Bush’s launch against Iraq. Zemin and Bush dislike each other as we highlighted in analyzing the Crawford meeting. The conclusion to this major analysis reverts back to our combining biblical interpretations into the secular geopolitical analysis. Here, the US and Israel are destined to lose for the reasons we long explained: success by the new world order agenda which is not only ultimately anti-American, but anti-G-d, precludes the intervention this country received in WWII when the result but for subtleties could have ended in favor of the German axis. There is a historic shift in the paradigm of power ahead: the results for you and all of us are horrific, especially for our children and theirs. If this doesn’t explain to you why we deemed it worthy to spend seven years doing what we have done, and getting attacked for it just when we were winding up, to reflect the stupidity of the men brainwashing themselves to believing that they know what they are doing, then you have wasted your time with us. Since we know you feel anything but that, then you will recognize that Bush increasing the troops the other day to 350,000 is preparing for a dual front conflict, not only Iraq but North Korea (if not China) as well. Bush is saying if China wants to push up the timetable, he has no objection to it. Let’s roll and get it over with. In the meantime, you don’t see that much of him, because everyone needs to focus on what may prove to lead or become Armageddon, and moreover, he has to make sure that not too many in Washington rush into his bunker. Perhaps those who get closed out, believing they would be getting in, will better recognize how others look upon our President throughout the world.

Joseph Ehrlich
Sender, Berl & Sons Inc.
January 16, 2003

PS. Now that Japan is remilitarizing itself, creating nuclear bombs and weapons, with the blessings of the US, and in view of Aegis warships in the Asian theater, there is no doubt in our mind, if there was any before, that North Korea, will attack militarily, when Jiang Zemin receives first formal word that Bush will launch against Iraq. Bush would be wise to wait even longer to attack Iraq to keep North Korea at bay until Japan arms itself, which will not take long, Japan having to forego its policy since WWII to avoid such dangerous militarization of its country. However, with all those troops launched into the various theaters (and you will see some of them move toward Asia), Bush wants to draw his six-shooter and see who’s left standing. Of course, he will be watching from the safety of his bunker while you and the world will have to risk your lives to await the results.

PPS. In Recapturing America, we expressed that Japan was a country detested by the Bush family. Now, Bush will have no qualms in seeing Japan get attacked by North Korea, establishing the next level of moral outrage Bush has been seeking since 9-11.

Attachment

What Each Key Player Would Prefer

Saudi Arabia: Exile of Saddam to preclude US attack, residence and seizure of the Iraqi oil asset.

China: Exile of Saddam with new leaderships under its control and influence.

Comment: If Bush is denied the oil asset he cannot finance or platform his NSS strategy for the Middle East.

Conclusion: Exile is unlikely because if Bush must approve it, he will only approve one China will not.

Israel: US victory with it not being victimized by the US.

US: Coup against Saddam with US troops moving in to protect the oil fields, putting in its people in the new infrastructure, giving it a base and presence for operations to carry forth the NSS agenda against Syria and Iran.

North Korea: War where it resolves conflict with South Korea, and conquers Japan to the approval of its mentor, China.

SenderBerl: We prefer a religious resolution with the US and Israel recognizing that they must return as nations to the religious tenets and precepts historically attuned to each respective state.

http://www.senderberl.com/china/majora.htm