Determining the Rules and Engagement of Possible Scenarios

by Anonymous

If you and your group plan on making it out of a disaster or emergency while lessening your chances of casualties, you will need to be one of two things, really lucky or really prepared.

There is something to be said about the old saying of practice making perfect because it really does. If you practice something, you will be able to do it when you need to. This holds true for driving, weapons training, decision making and many other items.

Things to consider:

* Plan ahead

* Plan and practice any escape routes

* Asses and realize the danger

* Establish a meeting place

* Practice stealth and the nature of escape at that meeting place

* Make back up escape and meeting plans

* Create and learn Emergency Codes

* Create a meeting place time line

* Create back-up plans for each meeting place and time line.

Possible Dangers: (Note: An escape plan must be made for each of these dangers based upon the items within)

* Riot

* Hostage

* Nuclear

* Biological

* Small to Medium Scale Attack

* Large Scale Attack

Rioting:

Plainly speaking, a riot of medium to large scale has the potential to devastate an entire city. The rioter mindset has the potential to turn on anyone and everyone within his or her area. Mass executions, rape, murder and/or injury could already be or soon become common place. What might start out as a few shops being looted, could soon turn into entire neighborhoods being over run and the current occupants being endangered or far worse.

Should a riot break out in your area or one have the potential to move to your area, you have to assess a few key items before you can act.

1) What is the nature of the riot? Example: Is it race based, politically based, post-attack or post-disaster based...?

2) What is fueling it?

3) Is the rioting mindset spreading?

4) What is the physical harm being caused to individuals?

5) Are there more dangers to children or women?

6) What are the authorities telling you to do and does that coincide with what you know you should do?

7) Are there other like minded individuals near you?

Answering these questions when a riot is taking place, about to take place or spreading will allow you to make the best choices out of the steps mentioned further in this article.

Hostage:

Hostage situations take place every day around the world. Whether one person, 3 people or a large scale event like a mall or shopping plaza, all of them have the same dangers and escape is always a must. In each of these situations, your loved ones will undoubtedly be worried about you. Without a plan, they may be on their way to the hostage location to see you and endanger themselves, so a plan must be made, practiced and executed when need be.

If you find yourself in a hostage situation, answering these questions will allow you to make appropriate decisions for escape and meeting with your friends and/or family.

1) What is the nature of the hostage situation? Hostage takers generally make their demands clear and their self explanations evident so you first need to find out why you're being held hostage. Some examples could be race based, faith based, the hostage taker(s) feel shorted somehow, demand based etc...

2) Have the hostage takers threatened harm? And if so, have they proven their willingness to follow through with that threat?

4) How many hostage takers are there?

3) Are they armed and with what?

4) Are you armed and with what?

5) Is anyone else trying to escape? Can you use this to your advantage?

6) Is there a possibility of a mole?

Nuclear and Biological:

Nuclear and Biological events are two of the worst possible scenarios. If one was to happen in your area, you need to know how to act and how to do so quickly.

Answering these questions will help you act and act quickly.

1) Where did the event take place?

2) What is the current weather pattern?

2-2) Is this carried by means other than weather? If so, what and how do you avoid it?

3) Are there more events to come?

4) Are you already at risk for exposure?

5) Will leaving soon further your risk to exposure?

6) What are the closest safe places from radiation or a virus?

7) How long will the effects last in the environment (In a way that proves immediately harmful to you?)

8) Is there medicine where you're going to counter the effects?

9) If biological, what is the incubation and quarantine time?

Common items that need discussing no matter what the scenario is:

1) Am I currently affected? If so, will I affect others in my group by meeting with them?

2) What is the current public reaction?

3) What is the most likely near-future public reaction?

4) Do I have effective weapons with enough ammunition?

5) Do I have effective transportation?

6) Do I need immediate medication?

7) Is procuring needed weapons, transportation or medication worth the risk?

8) Am I alone?

9) Are there other friends or family with identical plans nearby? If so, do we both know our escape and meeting plans?

10) Do I have women or children with me?

11) Can all of those with me protect themselves?

11-2) If not, who is protecting those with me that need protecting?

12) Do I need to pick up anything or anyone on the way? (The items that could need picking up must meet strict emergency requirements and must be able to be found within the time slotted for meeting with the other members of my group.)

14) What time am I to meet others in my group?

15) Where am I to meet others in my group at that time?

16) Does my group know its backup plans?

Escape:

Escaping any of these scenarios is the means to continuing life. If you do not escape, you or those in your group may not live the day. You must find a way to escape.

Possible escape scenarios:

* Stores and Buildings: Every major building has multiple emergency escape doors, use them if the power is out. If the power is on and stealth is key, use a window or non alarmed door.

* Hostage: Get out. Find a low key means of escape or fight your way out. You have to assume those threatening harm will follow through with their threats and you must act accordingly.

Meeting places and times:

You will need to devise a meeting place for emergencies and times after an event to meet there. This can be a house, a public place or a rest area. It must be somewhere that you know multiple routes to in case of road blockage. The times that are set for these meeting places must be in accordance with length of time in good, bad and impossible traffic to a location.

Emergency Code:

Your group needs an emergency linguistic code. Things that should be coded are members names, places and emergency distress codes. Codes should be easily memorized and practiced often.

Example: John's group consists of 4 people.

John: He works at a clothing store and is code named the tailor.

Jane: She works with children and is code named the sitter.

Brian: He works in construction and is code named the builder.

Mary: She works with animals and is code named the vet.

Meeting places: Are code named “First plate” and the back-up is “Second plate”

Emergency distress: This code will be a single word or short phrase that alerts everyone who hears it that they must act now and meet at the first meeting place. Examples of this code could be common phrases that are NOT used within the group except for in an emergency.

Having code names allows for more open communication when security is a must and the lines of communication may have been compromised.

Things to know and remember:

* You and others members that you have planned with must now think as a group. You must know that your group is your life. It is your group that will protect you and your family when your eyes and ears are elsewhere and you that will protect your group in the same way. If something harms your group, it harms you and if something harms you, it harms your group. Do not forget this!

If someone is in your group that you do not feel this way about, you must relieve them from your group. If you cannot trust someone with a loaded firearm around you or your children while you sleep than you must get rid of them for they are not in your group.

* You and those closest to you (Friend or family group with identical plans) are the most important people in the world. Nothing must come between you and your group. Thoughts other than this conjure feelings of guilt and lead to acts of non-self preservation.

* Items can be replaced. If it's not needed to survive RIGHT NOW (or in the immediate future) it's not needed!

* Everything that you need for escape, meeting and survival can be found with the right means.

* Time constraints are as important as life itself. If another party is not at a meeting place, you DO NOT wait for them beyond the agreed upon time. You mark that you have been there and any problems you've encountered with an agreed upon system and move to the next planned location.

* Get your story straight! Should you be forced to explain how or why you're at a location or going to one, you need to have a story to tell the authorities present.

* Get your story straight! Everyone that is not with you IS against you. They WILL do things to endanger you and your group. If you find the need to explain your present or future whereabouts, you need to have a story to tell them.

* Know your body, know your life. Without your health, you have nothing. You must know the limits of what you can and cannot do and you must do everything within your power to stay within those limits.

This means, if you know that you cannot outrun someone, know how to avoid detection and how to protect life at all cost. If you know you cannot win a hand-to-hand fight, find a way to overly push the odds in your favor (Example: ranged or melee weapons that you're familiar with).

* You need potable water within 24 hours and food within 5 days.

* You need shelter, fire, stealth, protection and maneuverability. Make it, find it and do it.

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